· investment-strategies · 3 min read
How Private Equity Actually Decides to Invest: EBITDA Multiples, DD Playbook, 2026 Benchmarks
PE firms use EBITDA multiples, quality-of-earnings analysis, and operational diligence. Here are the 2026 benchmarks by industry and the actual framework firms use.
Private equity investment decisions follow a structured, quantitative-plus-qualitative framework. Here’s what actually happens behind the scenes.
The quantitative toolkit
1. EV/EBITDA multiples
Most common valuation metric for mature companies. 2025–2026 typical ranges:
| Industry | Typical EV/EBITDA range |
|---|---|
| Enterprise software / SaaS | 10x–20x+ |
| Healthcare services | 8x–15x |
| Financial services | 7x–12x |
| Consumer products | 6x–10x |
| Industrial manufacturing | 6x–10x |
| Consumer services | 5x–8x |
Per ScaleX Invest 2025 data.
2. Revenue multiples
Used for high-growth, unprofitable, or tech/SaaS companies. Benchmark: when revenue growth exceeds 20–30% annually, firms often use revenue multiples.
3. IRR and MOIC targets
- Target IRR: 20–25% net for mid-market PE; 15–18% for larger buyouts.
- Target MOIC: 2.5x–3x net over 5–7 year hold period.
- Leverage: Typically 40–70% debt on purchase price.
The qualitative screen
- Market position: Market leader or strong #2 with sustainable advantages.
- Recurring revenue: Predictable, subscription-like cash flow beats project-based.
- Customer concentration: No single customer >20–30% of revenue (Hartmann Rhodes 2026).
- Management team: Willing to partner; preferably proven operators.
- Growth avenues: Multiple paths — geography, product, M&A.
- Operational leverage: Cost structure allows margin expansion.
The DD framework (Street of Walls summary)
- Commercial DD: Market position, TAM, competitive moat, pricing power.
- Financial DD:
- Quality of Earnings (QoE): Adjusts historical EBITDA.
- Pro-forma analysis: Normalizes for one-time events.
- Debt capacity modeling: Tests leverage scenarios.
- Legal DD: Contracts, IP, litigation, regulatory exposure.
- Operational DD: Systems, management, supply chain, scalability.
- Tax DD: Tax efficiency of purchase structure, post-close tax optimizations.
Value-creation levers PE firms deploy
- Operational improvements: Cost optimization, pricing, procurement.
- Strategic repositioning: Product mix, geography, customer segment.
- Add-on acquisitions: Platform + tuck-ins.
- Capital structure optimization: Debt paydown, dividend recaps, refinancing.
- Executive upgrades: Selective leadership changes.
Harvard Business School data (HBR research)
Per the seminal Gompers, Kaplan, and Mukharlyamov study of PE firms:
- Majority of PE firms (>60%) primarily rely on IRR + MOIC for evaluation.
- Operational improvements rank as the most important value-creation lever.
- Capital structure less important than often assumed.
What makes a good LBO candidate
- Stable, predictable cash flow to service debt.
- Strong collateral (real estate, IP, recurring contracts).
- Opportunity for margin expansion or revenue growth.
- Reasonable purchase multiple relative to industry benchmarks.
- Exit pathway — strategic buyer, IPO, or sponsor-to-sponsor.
NYC-specific PE context
NYC is home to:
- Blackstone ($10B Capital Opportunities V announced April 2026).
- KKR ($23B North America PE announced April 2026).
- Apollo Global Management.
- Carlyle Group.
- Warburg Pincus.
- CVC Capital Partners (NYC office).
- General Atlantic.
These firms manage trillions combined and make NYC the world capital of PE.
Practical takeaway
- Operators: Understand what PE buyers look for — recurring revenue, clean QoE, operational leverage.
- Founders: If you’re at $20M+ EBITDA and profitable, PE is a realistic exit option.
- LPs: PE returns more predictable than VC; allocate across both for risk-adjusted exposure.
Sources
- ScaleX Invest — EBITDA multiples: https://www.scalex-invest.com/blog/when-to-use-revenue-or-ebitda-multiples-in-private-equity
- Street of Walls — PE Investment Criteria: https://www.streetofwalls.com/finance-training-courses/private-equity-training/private-equity-investment-criteria/
- HBS “What Do Private Equity Firms Say They Do?”: https://www.hbs.edu/ris/Publication%20Files/15-081_9baffe73-8ec2-404f-9d62-ee0d825ca5b5.pdf
- KKR on PE value creation: https://www.kkr.com/alternatives-unlocked/private-equity